Bond Pricing & Yields

Understanding bond pricing and yields is essential for evaluating fixed-income investments. This section covers the critical relationships that investment advisers must know.

The Fundamental Inverse Relationship

Bond prices and interest rates move in opposite directions.

When Interest Rates...Bond Prices...
RiseFall
FallRise

Why This Happens

When new bonds are issued at higher rates, existing bonds with lower coupon rates become less attractive. Their prices must fall until their yields are competitive.

Example:

  • You own a bond paying 4% coupon
  • New bonds issued at 5%
  • Your 4% bond's price must fall until its effective yield rises to ~5%

Bond Price Relationships to Par

Bond PriceRelationshipWhy
At Par (100)Coupon rate = Market rateFair value
Premium (>100)Coupon rate > Market rateHigher coupon is valuable
Discount (<100)Coupon rate < Market rateLower coupon is less valuable

Types of Yields

1. Nominal Yield (Coupon Rate)

FeatureDescription
DefinitionStated interest rate on the bond
Fixed?Yes—never changes
Based OnPar value
RelevanceAnnual interest payment

Example: 5% coupon on $1,000 par = $50 annual interest (regardless of price)

2. Current Yield

Current Yield = Annual Interest Payment / Current Market Price
FeatureDescription
Based OnCurrent market price
ShowsIncome return relative to price paid
LimitationIgnores capital gains/losses

Example: $50 annual interest / $950 price = 5.26% current yield

3. Yield to Maturity (YTM)

FeatureDescription
DefinitionTotal return if held to maturity
IncludesCoupon payments AND capital gain/loss
Most ImportantPrimary yield measure for bond analysis
AssumptionCoupons reinvested at YTM rate

YTM accounts for everything: coupon income, time value, and any premium/discount amortization.

4. Yield to Call (YTC)

FeatureDescription
DefinitionReturn if bond called at first call date
When UsedCallable bonds trading at premium
Important BecausePremium bonds likely to be called

Rule: For callable bonds at a premium, compare YTC to YTM—use the lower (yield to worst).


Yield Relationships by Bond Price

Bond PriceYield Relationships
PremiumNominal Yield > Current Yield > YTM
ParAll yields are equal
DiscountNominal Yield < Current Yield < YTM

Memory Trick:

  • For discount bonds: yields increase (N < CY < YTM) because you gain the discount
  • For premium bonds: yields decrease (N > CY > YTM) because you lose the premium

Duration: Measuring Price Sensitivity

Duration measures a bond's sensitivity to interest rate changes.

What Duration Tells You

Duration ValuePrice Sensitivity
Higher durationMore price change for rate change
Lower durationLess price change for rate change

Rule of Thumb: A bond with duration of 7 years will change approximately 7% in price for each 1% change in interest rates.

Factors Affecting Duration

FactorEffect on Duration
Longer maturityHigher duration
Lower couponHigher duration
Lower yieldHigher duration
Zero couponDuration = maturity (maximum)

Duration Examples

Duration1% Rate Rise1% Rate Fall
3 years≈ -3% price≈ +3% price
7 years≈ -7% price≈ +7% price
15 years≈ -15% price≈ +15% price

Convexity

Convexity measures the curvature of the price/yield relationship.

FeatureDescription
Duration LimitationAssumes linear price change
RealityPrice changes are curved, not linear
Positive ConvexityPrices rise faster/fall slower than duration predicts
Negative ConvexityPrices rise slower/fall faster (callable bonds, MBS)

Positive convexity is good for bondholders: You gain more when rates fall than you lose when rates rise.


Bond Pricing Conventions

Treasury Notes and Bonds (32nds)

QuoteCalculationPrice per $1,000
99-1699 + 16/32 = 99.5%$995.00
101-08101 + 8/32 = 101.25%$1,012.50
98-2498 + 24/32 = 98.75%$987.50

In Practice: How Investment Advisers Apply This

Interest rate expectations:

  • Expecting rates to rise? Shorten duration (less price decline)
  • Expecting rates to fall? Extend duration (more price appreciation)

Client communication:

  • YTM is the most comprehensive yield measure
  • Duration quantifies interest rate risk
  • Premium/discount affects realized return

Bond selection:

  • Compare YTM across similar credits
  • Consider YTC for callable premium bonds
  • Match duration to client time horizon

On the Exam

The Series 65 exam tests your understanding of:

  1. Inverse relationship: Rates up = prices down
  2. Yield relationships: N vs. CY vs. YTM for premium/discount bonds
  3. Duration: Measures price sensitivity; rule of thumb
  4. Current yield formula: Annual interest / Price
  5. Premium vs. discount: Which yields are higher/lower

Expect 3-4 questions on bond pricing and yields. You need to know relationships but likely won't calculate complex YTM formulas.


Key Takeaways

  • Bond prices move inversely to interest rates
  • Premium bonds: N > CY > YTM (yields decrease left to right)
  • Discount bonds: N < CY < YTM (yields increase left to right)
  • At par: All yields are equal
  • Duration measures price sensitivity to rate changes
  • Duration of 7 ≈ 7% price change per 1% rate change
  • Longer maturity and lower coupon = higher duration
  • Zero-coupon bonds: Duration equals maturity
  • Convexity measures the curvature beyond what duration captures
Test Your Knowledge

A bond with a 5% coupon trading at a discount will have:

A
B
C
D
Test Your Knowledge

If a bond has a duration of 7 years and interest rates rise by 1%, the bond's price will approximately:

A
B
C
D
Test Your Knowledge

Which bond would have the HIGHEST duration?

A
B
C
D