Key Takeaways
- Dollar-cost averaging invests fixed dollars and buys more shares when prices fall.
- Lump-sum investing often outperforms over long horizons.
- DCA reduces timing risk and investor emotion.
- Sector rotation shifts exposure with the business cycle.
- Core-satellite blends passive core with active satellites.
- Buy-and-hold minimizes taxes and trading costs.
Portfolio Management Techniques
Various techniques help advisers construct and manage portfolios effectively. Understanding these strategies allows for matching approaches to client goals and preferences.
Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)
How It Works
Dollar-cost averaging involves investing a fixed dollar amount at regular intervals, regardless of the security's price.
Example: Investing $500 monthly in an index fund
| Month | Price | Shares Purchased |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | $50 | $500 / $50 = 10.0 shares |
| 2 | $40 | $500 / $40 = 12.5 shares |
| 3 | $45 | $500 / $45 = 11.1 shares |
| 4 | $55 | $500 / $55 = 9.1 shares |
| Total | $2,000 | 42.7 shares |
Average Market Price: ($50 + $40 + $45 + $55) / 4 = $47.50 per share
Your Average Cost: $2,000 / 42.7 = $46.84 per share
The investor's average cost ($46.84) is LOWER than the average market price ($47.50) because more shares were purchased when prices were low.
Benefits of Dollar-Cost Averaging
| Benefit | Description |
|---|---|
| Reduces timing risk | Avoids investing all money at a market peak |
| Removes emotion | Systematic approach prevents panic selling/buying |
| Lower average cost | Buy more shares when prices are low |
| Builds discipline | Creates regular investing habit |
| Accessible | Works with any amount of money |
Limitations of Dollar-Cost Averaging
| Limitation | Description |
|---|---|
| May underperform lump sum | In rising markets, earlier investment wins |
| Opportunity cost | Cash waiting to invest earns less |
| Transaction costs | Multiple purchases may incur fees |
| No guarantee | Doesn't protect against losses |
DCA vs. Lump Sum: The Evidence
Research shows lump sum investing outperforms DCA approximately 66-75% of the time historically because:
- Markets generally rise over time
- Being invested earlier captures more upside
- DCA keeps money in cash longer
However: DCA may be psychologically easier during volatile markets and prevents the regret of poorly-timed lump sum investments.
Sector Rotation
Concept
Sector rotation involves shifting portfolio allocations among economic sectors based on the business cycle.
Economic Cycle and Sectors
| Business Cycle Phase | Favored Sectors | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Early Expansion | Financials, Consumer Discretionary | Credit demand rises, spending increases |
| Mid Expansion | Technology, Industrials | Capital investment grows |
| Late Expansion | Energy, Materials | Commodity demand peaks |
| Recession | Utilities, Consumer Staples, Healthcare | Defensive, stable demand |
| Recovery | Financials, Consumer Discretionary | Cycle begins again |
Challenges with Sector Rotation
- Requires accurate economic forecasting
- Timing is difficult
- Transaction costs and taxes
- Market may already price in cycle changes
Buy and Hold Strategy
Definition
A long-term strategy of purchasing securities and holding them regardless of short-term market fluctuations.
| Advantage | Description |
|---|---|
| Low costs | Minimal trading expenses |
| Tax efficient | Fewer taxable events, long-term capital gains |
| Simple | No market timing required |
| Time-tested | Markets have risen over long periods |
Philosophy: Time in the market beats timing the market.
Core-Satellite Approach
Structure
| Component | Typical Allocation | Strategy |
|---|---|---|
| Core | 60-80% | Passive index funds (low cost) |
| Satellite | 20-40% | Active strategies, specialized funds |
Benefits
- Captures market returns at low cost (core)
- Allows for active bets where they might add value (satellite)
- Balances cost efficiency with flexibility
- Reduces overall portfolio expense ratio
Diversification Strategies
Types of Diversification
| Type | Description | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Class | Stocks, bonds, alternatives | 60/30/10 allocation |
| Sector | Different industries | Tech, healthcare, financials |
| Geographic | Different countries | US, international, emerging |
| Market Cap | Different company sizes | Large, mid, small cap |
| Style | Different investment approaches | Growth and value |
The Diversification Benefit
- Combining assets with low correlations reduces portfolio volatility
- Most diversification benefit achieved with 20-30 securities
- International diversification adds value due to different economic cycles
- Asset class diversification is most impactful
Dividend Strategies
Dividend Growth Investing
Focus: Companies that consistently increase dividends over time.
| Feature | Benefit |
|---|---|
| Growing income | Dividend increases beat inflation |
| Quality signal | Consistent raises indicate financial strength |
| Compounding | Reinvested dividends accelerate growth |
| Lower volatility | Dividend stocks often more stable |
Dividend Aristocrats: S&P 500 companies that have increased dividends for 25+ consecutive years.
In Practice
When selecting techniques:
- DCA: Good for regular savers, volatile markets, risk-averse clients
- Lump sum: May be better for those with cash available and long horizons
- Core-satellite: Balances cost efficiency with active opportunities
- Buy and hold: Appropriate for long-term investors who can tolerate volatility
On the Exam
Series 65 frequently tests:
- Understanding how DCA works (fixed dollars = more shares when prices low)
- Recognizing that DCA reduces timing risk but may underperform lump sum
- The core-satellite approach combines passive core with active satellites
- Sector rotation requires accurate economic cycle forecasting
Key Takeaways
- DCA invests fixed dollars at regular intervals—buys more shares when prices are low
- Lump sum often outperforms DCA because markets generally rise
- DCA reduces timing risk and removes emotion from investing
- Sector rotation shifts allocations based on the business cycle
- Core-satellite combines low-cost passive core with active satellites
- Buy and hold minimizes costs and taxes for long-term investors
Dollar-cost averaging results in a lower average cost per share than the average market price because:
Research shows that lump sum investing outperforms dollar-cost averaging approximately:
The core-satellite investment approach combines: