8.3 Measuring Portfolio Performance
Key Takeaways
Total return includes both income (dividends/interest) AND capital appreciation.
Time-weighted return eliminates the effect of cash flows; used to compare managers.
Dollar-weighted return (IRR) includes cash flow timing; measures investor's actual experience.
Sharpe ratio measures excess return per unit of TOTAL risk (standard deviation).
Treynor ratio measures excess return per unit of SYSTEMATIC risk (beta).
Alpha (Jensen's) measures performance ABOVE what CAPM expected; positive alpha = outperformance.
Benchmarks must be appropriate to the portfolio's investment style and objective.
Higher Sharpe, Treynor, or alpha indicates better risk-adjusted performance.
Evaluating investment performance requires understanding various return measures and risk-adjusted metrics.
Return Measures
Total Return
Total return captures all sources of investment return:
| Component | Examples |
|---|---|
| Capital Appreciation | Price increase |
| Capital Depreciation | Price decrease |
| Income | Dividends, interest, distributions |
Time-Weighted Return (TWR)
Time-weighted return eliminates the effect of cash flows (deposits and withdrawals).
| Characteristic | Description |
|---|---|
| Purpose | Compare manager performance |
| Cash Flows | Neutralized |
| Calculation | Geometric linking of sub-period returns |
| Standard | Industry standard for comparing managers |
Why TWR? Managers don't control when clients add or withdraw money.
Dollar-Weighted Return (Money-Weighted / IRR)
Dollar-weighted return includes the effect of cash flows.
| Characteristic | Description |
|---|---|
| Purpose | Measure investor's actual experience |
| Cash Flows | Fully incorporated |
| Calculation | Internal rate of return (IRR) |
| Impact | Timing of contributions/withdrawals matters |
TWR vs. DWR Comparison
| Scenario | Better Measure |
|---|---|
| Comparing managers | Time-weighted |
| Evaluating investor experience | Dollar-weighted |
| When cash flows are frequent | Time-weighted |
| When timing decisions by investor | Dollar-weighted |
Exam Tip: Time-weighted return is used to compare MANAGERS because it eliminates cash flow timing that managers don't control. Dollar-weighted return measures the INVESTOR'S actual experience.
Risk-Adjusted Return Measures
Sharpe Ratio
The Sharpe ratio measures excess return per unit of total risk (standard deviation).
| Component | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Portfolio return (actual return earned) | |
| Risk-free rate (T-bill return) | |
| Standard deviation (total volatility) |
Sharpe Ratio Interpretation
| Result | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Higher | Better risk-adjusted return |
| > 1.0 | Generally considered good |
| > 2.0 | Very good |
| Negative | Underperformed risk-free rate |
Treynor Ratio
The Treynor ratio measures excess return per unit of systematic risk (beta).
| Component | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Excess return above risk-free | |
| Beta (systematic risk only) |
When to Use Treynor vs. Sharpe
| Use Sharpe When... | Use Treynor When... |
|---|---|
| Evaluating entire portfolio | Evaluating a component of larger portfolio |
| Portfolio is NOT fully diversified | Portfolio IS well-diversified |
| Total risk matters | Only systematic risk matters |
Alpha (Jensen's Alpha)
Alpha measures the difference between actual return and expected return based on CAPM.
Alpha Interpretation
| Alpha | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Positive | Outperformed expectations (manager added value) |
| Zero | Performed as expected |
| Negative | Underperformed expectations |
Alpha Example
Given: Portfolio return = 12%, Risk-free = 3%, Market = 10%, Beta = 1.0
- Expected return = 3% + 1.0 x (10% - 3%) = 3% + 7% = 10%
- Alpha = 12% - 10% = +2% (outperformed)
Exam Tip: Sharpe uses TOTAL risk (standard deviation). Treynor uses SYSTEMATIC risk (beta). Use Sharpe for entire portfolios, Treynor for well-diversified portfolios.
Risk-Adjusted Measures Summary
| Measure | Formula | Risk Measure | Use For |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe | Total risk | Entire portfolio | |
| Treynor | Systematic risk | Diversified portfolio | |
| Alpha | Benchmark comparison | Manager evaluation |
Benchmarks
Purpose of Benchmarks
- Measure performance against a standard
- Evaluate manager skill
- Set client expectations
- Assess strategy effectiveness
Selecting Appropriate Benchmarks
| Portfolio Type | Appropriate Benchmark |
|---|---|
| Large-cap U.S. stocks | S&P 500 |
| Small-cap U.S. stocks | Russell 2000 |
| Growth stocks | Russell 1000 Growth |
| Value stocks | Russell 1000 Value |
| International stocks | MSCI EAFE |
| Emerging markets | MSCI Emerging Markets |
| U.S. bonds | Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate |
| Balanced portfolio | Blended benchmark (60/40) |
Benchmark Requirements
| Requirement | Description |
|---|---|
| Appropriate | Matches investment style and universe |
| Investable | Could actually invest in the benchmark |
| Measurable | Returns can be calculated |
| Specified in Advance | Not changed after the fact |
| Unambiguous | Clear components and weights |
Common Benchmark Issues
| Issue | Problem |
|---|---|
| Style drift | Portfolio strays from benchmark style |
| Cherry-picking | Selecting benchmark after results known |
| Inappropriate comparison | Growth fund vs. value benchmark |
| Survivorship bias | Benchmark excludes failed funds |
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation measures total volatility of returns.
| Characteristic | Description |
|---|---|
| Measures | Dispersion around average return |
| Higher value | More volatile, higher risk |
| Lower value | Less volatile, lower risk |
| Normal distribution | 68% within 1 std dev, 95% within 2 |
Standard Deviation Example
| Fund | Average Return | Standard Deviation |
|---|---|---|
| Fund A | 10% | 5% |
| Fund B | 10% | 15% |
Fund B has the same expected return but MORE risk.
Exam Tip: A portfolio with a POSITIVE alpha has outperformed what was expected based on its level of risk (beta). Positive alpha indicates the manager added value.
A portfolio with a POSITIVE alpha has:
Higher risk than the market
Returns below expectations
Returns above expectations based on its risk
No systematic risk
Which return measure should be used to compare portfolio MANAGERS?
Dollar-weighted return
Time-weighted return
Internal rate of return
Total return
The Sharpe ratio differs from the Treynor ratio in that Sharpe uses:
Beta instead of standard deviation
Standard deviation instead of beta
Alpha instead of excess return
Market return instead of risk-free rate
An appropriate benchmark for a small-cap U.S. stock fund would be:
S&P 500
Russell 2000
MSCI EAFE
Bloomberg Aggregate
Sections you finish are checked off in the contents.