3.5 Reading TAF Reports

Key Takeaways

  • TAFs forecast weather for 24-30 hours, issued 4 times daily, using change groups to show transitions.
  • FM = abrupt change (replaces all previous conditions); TEMPO = temporary fluctuations; BECMG = gradual change.
  • PROB30/PROB40 indicate 30% or 40% probability of conditions during a specified time period.
  • P6SM means visibility greater than 6 statute miles ("P" = plus/greater than).
  • For exam questions, work through change groups chronologically to determine conditions at a specific time.
Last updated: March 2026

3.5 Reading TAF Reports

A Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) predicts weather conditions at an airport for a period of 24 to 30 hours. TAFs are issued 4 times daily (0000Z, 0600Z, 1200Z, 1800Z) and use a similar format to METARs but include change groups to show expected weather transitions.

TAF Format

A sample TAF:

TAF KORD 121720Z 1218/1318 27012KT P6SM SCT030 BKN050
  FM130200 33008KT P6SM FEW040 SCT250
  TEMPO 1304/1308 2SM BR OVC010
  BECMG 1310/1312 18015G25KT 3SM -RA OVC020

Header Line

ElementExampleMeaning
Report typeTAFTerminal Aerodrome Forecast
StationKORDICAO identifier
Issuance time121720Z12th day, 17:20 UTC
Valid period1218/1318From 12th at 1800Z to 13th at 1800Z (24 hours)

Initial Forecast Line

The first line after the header gives the initial conditions expected during the first portion of the valid period:

  • 27012KT — Wind from 270° at 12 knots
  • P6SM — Visibility greater than 6 statute miles (P = plus/exceeding)
  • SCT030 BKN050 — Scattered at 3,000 ft, broken at 5,000 ft (ceiling: 5,000 ft)

Change Groups

TAFs use specific keywords to indicate how conditions will change:

FM (From)

FM indicates an abrupt change at a specific time:

FM130200 33008KT P6SM FEW040 SCT250
  • Starting at 13th day, 0200Z, conditions will shift to:
  • Wind from 330° at 8 knots, visibility >6 SM, few at 4,000 ft, scattered at 25,000 ft

Key: FM replaces all previous conditions — everything after FM is the new forecast.

TEMPO (Temporary)

TEMPO indicates temporary fluctuations expected during a specific period:

TEMPO 1304/1308 2SM BR OVC010
  • Between 13th 0400Z and 13th 0800Z
  • Conditions may temporarily drop to: 2 SM visibility, mist, overcast at 1,000 ft
  • Conditions fluctuate — these are temporary variations, not sustained changes
  • Each occurrence lasts less than 1 hour and covers less than half the TEMPO period

BECMG (Becoming)

BECMG indicates a gradual change over a specified period:

BECMG 1310/1312 18015G25KT 3SM -RA OVC020
  • Between 13th 1000Z and 13th 1200Z, conditions will gradually change to:
  • Wind from 180° at 15 knots gusting 25, visibility 3 SM, light rain, overcast at 2,000 ft
  • The change is complete by the end time (1312 = 1200Z on the 13th)

PROB (Probability)

PROB indicates the probability of conditions occurring:

PROB40 1302/1306 1SM +TSRA BKN015CB
  • 40% probability between 0200Z and 0600Z on the 13th
  • Conditions: 1 SM visibility, heavy thunderstorms and rain, broken cumulonimbus at 1,500 ft
  • Only PROB30 and PROB40 are used in TAFs

TAF vs. METAR Comparison

FeatureMETARTAF
TypeCurrent observationForecast
DurationSnapshot (at observation time)24-30 hours
IssuedHourly (or special)4 times daily
Purpose"What IS the weather right now?""What WILL the weather be?"
Includes change groups?NoYes (FM, TEMPO, BECMG, PROB)

Using TAFs for Flight Planning

For Part 107 operations:

  1. Check the METAR for current conditions before flying
  2. Check the TAF for expected changes during your planned flight window
  3. Focus on visibility (must remain ≥3 SM), ceiling (500 ft clearance below BKN/OVC), and wind
  4. Pay attention to TEMPO groups — temporary drops to below Part 107 minimums mean you should have a plan to land quickly
  5. If a PROB40 +TSRA (40% chance of thunderstorms) appears during your flight window, consider postponing

Exam Tip: TAF questions on the exam will ask you to determine weather conditions at a specific time within the TAF valid period. Work through the change groups chronologically to find which conditions apply at the given time.

Test Your Knowledge

In a TAF, "FM130200" means:

A
B
C
D
Test Your Knowledge

The TEMPO change group in a TAF indicates:

A
B
C
D
Test Your Knowledge

In a TAF, visibility shown as "P6SM" means:

A
B
C
D