Insurance

Mortality Table

A mortality table is a statistical chart showing the probability of death at each age, used by life insurance companies to calculate premiums, reserves, and the expected length of life for policyholders.

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Exam Tip

Mortality table = probability of DEATH by age. CSO 2017 is current standard. Used to price life insurance. "Law of large numbers" makes predictions work.

What is a Mortality Table?

A mortality table (also called a life table or actuarial table) is a statistical tool that shows the probability of death for people at different ages. Life insurance companies use these tables to price policies and determine reserves needed to pay future claims.

Key Components

ColumnDescription
Age (x)Current age of individual
lxNumber living at start of year
dxNumber dying during year
qxProbability of death at age x
pxProbability of survival at age x
exLife expectancy at age x

Example Mortality Table Extract

AgeLiving (lx)Deaths (dx)Death Rate (qx)
3097,5001200.00123
4095,8002000.00209
5092,6004500.00486
6085,4001,1000.01288

Types of Mortality Tables

TypeUse
Commissioner's Standard Ordinary (CSO)Life insurance pricing
Ultimate TablesExcludes select period deaths
Select TablesRecently underwritten lives
Aggregate TablesCombined data

Insurance Applications

ApplicationHow Used
Premium CalculationBase rates on death probability
Reserve CalculationSet aside funds for future claims
Product DesignDetermine coverage terms
UnderwritingAssess individual risk vs. table

CSO Tables Evolution

TableYearNotes
1980 CSO1980Long-used standard
2001 CSO2001Reflected improved longevity
2017 CSO2017Current standard, even longer lives

Factors Reflected in Tables

FactorImpact
AgeHigher mortality with age
GenderWomen live longer on average
Smoker StatusSeparate tables for smokers
Health ClassPreferred, standard, substandard

Law of Large Numbers

Mortality tables rely on:

  • Large population samples
  • Predictable group behavior
  • Statistical probability
  • Historical data patterns

Individual outcomes vary, but group behavior is predictable.

Impact on Premiums

AgeMortality RiskPremium Impact
YoungerLower death probabilityLower premium
OlderHigher death probabilityHigher premium

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